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As Voters Head to Polls in French Legislative Elections, Will Macron's Gamble Pay off?

The election is not mean to replace President Macron, whose second and final term in office lasts until 2027.
Emmanuel Macron. Photo: X/@EmmanuelMacron.
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  • French voters will begin casting their ballots in the first of the two-round legislative elections today.
  • President Macron called a snap vote after far-right National Rally made gains in EU elections.
  • Four major blocks competing for National Assembly’s 577 seats.
  • Pre-election polls put the National Rally ahead of Macron’s centrist alliance.
  • Voters in the overseas territory of Saint Pierre and Miquelon began voting on Saturday

Who are the competing parties in France’s snap election?

The election features four major blocks competing for seats in the National Assembly:

The New Popular Front is a coalition of left-wing parties and the Greens. It was formed earlier this month after the snap elections was called by President Emmanuel Macron. Its platform includes overturning immigration and pension reforms, a wealth tax and increasing the minimum wage. It currently holds 149 seats.

Macron’s Renaissance party is part of the Ensemble (Together) coalition. The centrist, pro-EU and pro-NATO alliance aims to make France’s economy and workforce more competitive. The alliance is a staunch supporter of Ukraine’s fight against Russian forces. It currently holds 250 seats.

The centre-right Republicans are pro-business, but they’re a party that has shrunk massively after ruling France for decades. Currently, they hold 61 seats.

Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally, projected to win the most number of seats this election, is anti-immigration and anti-EU. The coalition is known to have political and financial ties to Russia. It currently holds 88 seats.

How does the French voting system work?

France has 577 constituencies and each sends one delegate to the National Assembly in Paris.

Candidates securing more than 50% of the vote in the first round are elected, but that is rare.

Candidates who receive at least 12.5% of registered votes go through a second decisive round that will be held on July 7. The top scorer wins.

The election is not mean to replace President Macron, whose second and final term in office lasts until 2027.

But he will need to select a prime minister from the ranks of the party that secures a majority in the National Assembly or lower house of parliament.

If either the far-right or left-wing alliance win, Macron would be forced into a period of “cohabitation.” The term refers to periods when the president and prime minister come from different political camps, thus dividing executive power.

In the case of the far-right National Rally, that would be the party’s president Jordan Bardella, rather than Le Pen, who heads the RN’s parliamentary group.

The prime minister is responsible for domestic laws, while Macron will remain head of the military and in charge of decisions concerning foreign policy.

If there is no majority, the president can name a prime minister from the group with the most seats in the National Assembly.

Why is France holding a snap election?

French President Emmanuel Macron took a major political gamble by calling legislative elections after his centrist party was trounced by the far-right National Rally (RN) party of Marine Le Pen in the European Parliament elections earlier this month.

The RN is ahead in pre-election polling, so the country could see its first far-right government since the World War II Nazi occupation.

The new leftist New Popular Front (NFP) alliance was formed this month and is in second place, while Macron’s centrist alliance that includes his Renaissance party is trailing in third.

Macron’s ruling Renaissance party has 169 lawmakers in the National Assembly, the biggest grouping in the 577-seat chamber. The National Rally is the largest party in opposition with 88 seats.

Analysts see the RN taking most seats, but it is unclear whether the party will secure the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority.

This article first appeared on DW.

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